Using a new computer modeling technique normally applied to weather and climate, PhD student Jack Albright and his advisor Prof. Patricia Gregg have developed a method to forecast volcanic eruptions. Beyond their potential for destruction, volcanic eruptions can have wide-spread impacts on society, especially for air travel, making a forecast of an eruption increasingly valuable. But this can be difficult for volcanos that do not show normal eruption precursors, like more earthquakes. The new statistical model takes these considerations into account and improves the accuracy of our forecasts. The new paper is available in the journal, Geophysical Research Letters. See more here.